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Tuesday, July 5, 2011
Climate change: the UK to cope with the coldest winters dip in solar activity
Posted by org at 10:05 AMA new study on climate change has revealed that Britons will soon be forced to deal with much harsher winters, with no fewer than one in seven cast the country in sub-zero temperatures for pro-longed periods.
The findings were published in the Institute of Physics Letters' Journal of Environmental Research and are based on research that explores how low solar activity can affect weather patterns in winter.
"We could get to the point that one in seven winters are very cold, like we had at the beginning of last winter and during the winter before," said co-author Mike Lockwood, a professor of physics at the space environment University of Reading.
Cross-checking data with the Central England Temperature (CET) record the researchers noted that recent winters have been British average much lower temperatures, leading to believe that the trend would continue in the future.
"All the lowest winter temperatures in the UK over the past three years has raised questions about the likelihood of similar winters, or even colder, which occur in the future."
The research speculates that the decline could see Britons face similar temperatures to those experienced during the Maunder minimum.
The Maunder Minimum was a period of very low solar activity that occurred between 1645 and 1715. The period has often been called the Little Ice Age, due to the increasingly harsh winters of Europe suffered during it.
The study authors stressed that they were not predicting anything on the scale of a mini-ice age.
Using data from the CET the two were quick to point out that this does not necessarily mean that the whole year would be colder. The letters said that the coldest winter since records began was in 1683-1684, adding that "only two years [s] later, right in the center of the Maunder Minimum is the fifth warmest winter on record all "- that is, there will still be warm periods and mild winters-ish in decreasing solar activity.
Scientists clarify that its investigation had no primary importance in the debate on global warming and climate change. The letters to find a place refers to a pattern of natural climate.
The findings were published in the Institute of Physics Letters' Journal of Environmental Research and are based on research that explores how low solar activity can affect weather patterns in winter.
"We could get to the point that one in seven winters are very cold, like we had at the beginning of last winter and during the winter before," said co-author Mike Lockwood, a professor of physics at the space environment University of Reading.
Cross-checking data with the Central England Temperature (CET) record the researchers noted that recent winters have been British average much lower temperatures, leading to believe that the trend would continue in the future.
"All the lowest winter temperatures in the UK over the past three years has raised questions about the likelihood of similar winters, or even colder, which occur in the future."
The research speculates that the decline could see Britons face similar temperatures to those experienced during the Maunder minimum.
The Maunder Minimum was a period of very low solar activity that occurred between 1645 and 1715. The period has often been called the Little Ice Age, due to the increasingly harsh winters of Europe suffered during it.
The study authors stressed that they were not predicting anything on the scale of a mini-ice age.
Using data from the CET the two were quick to point out that this does not necessarily mean that the whole year would be colder. The letters said that the coldest winter since records began was in 1683-1684, adding that "only two years [s] later, right in the center of the Maunder Minimum is the fifth warmest winter on record all "- that is, there will still be warm periods and mild winters-ish in decreasing solar activity.
Scientists clarify that its investigation had no primary importance in the debate on global warming and climate change. The letters to find a place refers to a pattern of natural climate.
Labels: International
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